National polls are pointless. An election based on electoral college votes makes 7 states with the potential to go either way (MI, MN, WI, PA, NC, GA, AZ) the only thing that really matters. Including likely or registered voters from CA or TX means absolutely nothing. Florida used to matter...but it's clearly red these days.
In the primary season, state-by-state polls can be interesting because there is an orchestration/timing to the votes, and one state's selections can impact the fundraising and momentum of states later in the mix (see: Biden 2020 - Super Tuesday).
The reality of voting is that people today aren't focused on the choice of Biden vs. Trump for the next 4 years...they're focused on the current news cycle and the past. When it comes time to vote next November, beyond the fact that Trump may well be facing jail time, the recent history of Republican losses in special elections and 2022 results are likely to continue for voters. Abortion is a huge deal. The SCOTUS was changed by Trump appointees...and overturned a ruling that provided rights to every woman of child-bearing age in the US. Rightly or wrongly, Trump is to credit/blame.
If Biden does anything with the border, and inflation / a recession don't go crazy... it's hard to imagine Trump can win in heavily unionized states like those that can swing the election. He's going to try to say he's pro-labor now...which is pretty amusing. He'll say it...and the trolls are going to make silly comments about how "Joe has America on strike"... but if Americans somehow vote Republican for their support of organized labor, we are indeed living in bizarro world...making the GIF above a generally consistent worldview.
PS - I think the branding around Bidenomics is a mistake for Joe. I think the economy, when looked at on a global basis, has proven to be amazingly resilient... but people don't think beyond their own wallets and when gas and groceries are high, telling people it could be a lot worse doesn't work. Add in the non-stop grievance and blame machine on the Right...and placing your own name on what people are negatively experiencing is foolish.
13. If the 2024 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were
(Donald Trump, the Republican) and (Joe Biden, the Democrat), for whom would you vote?
Would you lean toward (Trump) or (Biden)?
Other Neither Would not No
Trump Biden (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
T B
9/20/23 RV 52 42 1 3 1 1 (RV for registered voters)
2/01/23 RV 48 45 1 2 2 1
9/21/22 RV 48 46 1 3 1 1
Kooky Ronald McKurster must believe in the dietary benefits of mackie-Dee's family meals
13. If the 2024 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Donald Trump, the Republican) and (Joe Biden, the Democrat), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Trump) or (Biden)?
Other Neither Would not No Trump Biden (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
T B 9/20/23 RV 52 42 1 3 1 1 (RV for registered voters) 2/01/23 RV 48 45 1 2 2 1 9/21/22 RV 48 46 1 3 1 1
Amazingly, my remark about Biden / Trump and Clinton / Trump has been 100% ignored.
Instead, the remark with the least meaning has been attacked and analyzed 8 ways to Sunday. Musta struck a nerve there or something.
I presume because no one wants to admit to their justification for still supporting Biden, which is still the only justification I have seen put forth for continuing to support Biden.
I'm done on this.
Poor you. It's almost like you aren't being taken seriously.
So Kurt is defending his 3 nominees...and Trump's not.
In an interview Sunday, Trump said on NBCâs Meet the Press that he thought a Republican primary rival, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, had made a âterrible mistakeâ by signing a law that bans abortion at six weeks, before most women know they are pregnant. His rambling remarks also suggested support for a federal ban on abortion: âWhatâs going to happen is youâre going to come up with a number of weeks or months. Youâre going to come up with a number thatâs going to make people happy ⦠I would sit down with both sides and Iâd negotiate something, and weâll end up with peace on that issue for the first time in 52 years.â
In Trump world...suggesting he's the guy who can fix this...after throwing gasoline on the fire... is just another day in the office.
Can we NOW agree it wasn't an accomplishment...when the guy who did it denies responsibility?
Depends where you stand. Both pandering to/appeasing the reactionary religious right and fans of FedSoc is an accomplishment of sorts. Cui bono?
Location: Perched on the precipice of the cauldron of truth
Posted:
Sep 21, 2023 - 3:47pm
kurtster wrote:
And it went downhill from there.
Amazingly, my remark about Biden / Trump and Clinton / Trump has been 100% ignored.
Instead, the remark with the least meaning has been attacked and analyzed 8 ways to Sunday. Musta struck a nerve there or something.
I presume because no one wants to admit to their justification for still supporting Biden, which is still the only justification I have seen put forth for continuing to support Biden.
Oh and law, seeing as how this pointless debate seemed to start with your disapproval of Ketanji Brown Jackson's response during her confirmation hearing.
Hard to define a real start, but I think it was in response to the picture that summed up Trump's unequivocal failures. Which wasn't a real surprise to anyone, of course, but putting them all together sometimes is a good reminder of the magnitude of his failed single term.
You are correct sir as to the beginning.
kurtster wrote:
Steely_D wrote:
Yeah, ok.
But as y'all say that Biden kept Trump out of the WH, we say that Trump kept Hillary out of the WH ...
Oh, and that SCOTUS thing was pretty good, too.
And it went downhill from there.
Amazingly, my remark about Biden / Trump and Clinton / Trump has been 100% ignored.
Instead, the remark with the least meaning has been attacked and analyzed 8 ways to Sunday. Musta struck a nerve there or something.
I presume because no one wants to admit to their justification for still supporting Biden, which is still the only justification I have seen put forth for continuing to support Biden.
So Kurt is defending his 3 nominees...and Trump's not.
In an interview Sunday, Trump said on NBCâs Meet the Press that he thought a Republican primary rival, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, had made a âterrible mistakeâ by signing a law that bans abortion at six weeks, before most women know they are pregnant. His rambling remarks also suggested support for a federal ban on abortion: âWhatâs going to happen is youâre going to come up with a number of weeks or months. Youâre going to come up with a number thatâs going to make people happy ⦠I would sit down with both sides and Iâd negotiate something, and weâll end up with peace on that issue for the first time in 52 years.â
In Trump world...suggesting he's the guy who can fix this...after throwing gasoline on the fire... is just another day in the office.
Can we NOW agree it wasn't an accomplishment...when the guy who did it denies responsibility?
The federal judge overseeing Donald Trumpâs frivolous $500 million civil lawsuit against his former attorney Michael Cohen ordered that the disgraced ex-president must show up to be deposed on October 3rd at the time and location of Cohenâs choosing.
On Tuesday, we reported that Cohen had filed a new motion to compel Trump to provide the location and time for the October 3rd deposition.
Trump refused.
Consequently, Cohen and his legal team now hold all the cards, and the judge has given them free range to depose Trump for a maximum of 9 hours, Cohen revealed Thursday on the MeidasTouch Networkâs Political Beatdown podcast.
...
Michael Cohen said that Trump is bringing in another attorney and plans to invoke the Fifth Amendment during the deposition so as to not incriminate himself in a separate case in which he is currently involved.
Cohen noted how unusual it is for anyone to invoke the Fifth in a civil case, let alone the plaintiff who brought the case. âSo again, I want to sort of talk about for a split second the unusual nature of this type of a scenario. Have you ever really heard of somebody taking the Fifth in a civil case that they are the plaintiff on? And the answer is no. The answer is no. I don't even know how one could think of another scenario outside of this where something like this would even happen.â
While the Fifth Amendment guarantees that no person âshall be compelled in any criminal case to be a witness against himself,â taking the Fifth in civil litigation has different implications. A witness's invocation of the Fifth Amendment in civil litigation may give rise to an adverse inference âwhen independent evidence exists of the fact to which the party refuses to answer.â