[ ]   [ ]   [ ]                        [ ]      [ ]   [ ]

Baseball, anyone? - SeriousLee - Sep 21, 2019 - 2:43pm
 
Climate Change - R_P - Sep 21, 2019 - 2:39pm
 
What are you listening to now? - SeriousLee - Sep 21, 2019 - 12:07pm
 
Trump - R_P - Sep 21, 2019 - 10:46am
 
Today in History - Red_Dragon - Sep 21, 2019 - 10:33am
 
Best guitarists - Red_Dragon - Sep 21, 2019 - 10:29am
 
YouTube: Music-Videos - oldviolin - Sep 21, 2019 - 9:52am
 
Guns - steeler - Sep 21, 2019 - 9:37am
 
Things You Thought Today - Ohmsen - Sep 21, 2019 - 7:24am
 
Phillip K. DIck - Ohmsen - Sep 21, 2019 - 5:38am
 
What Do You Want From RP? - Ohmsen - Sep 21, 2019 - 4:26am
 
Radio Paradise Comments - Ohmsen - Sep 21, 2019 - 4:09am
 
Questions. - buzz - Sep 20, 2019 - 10:21pm
 
Pink Floyd Set? - kurtster - Sep 20, 2019 - 7:54pm
 
Name My Band - haresfur - Sep 20, 2019 - 7:48pm
 
Good Night and Good Luck - SeriousLee - Sep 20, 2019 - 5:22pm
 
260,000 Posts in one thread? - SeriousLee - Sep 20, 2019 - 5:21pm
 
What are you doing RIGHT NOW? - SeriousLee - Sep 20, 2019 - 5:19pm
 
Apple's iOS 13 now supports telling Siri to listen to Rad... - BillG - Sep 20, 2019 - 3:54pm
 
What Did You See Today? - KurtfromLaQuinta - Sep 20, 2019 - 2:02pm
 
volcano! - R_P - Sep 20, 2019 - 2:02pm
 
Marijuana: Baked News. - westslope - Sep 20, 2019 - 12:38pm
 
Solar / Wind / Geothermal / Efficiency Energy - aflanigan - Sep 20, 2019 - 10:59am
 
Holy Frack! - R_P - Sep 20, 2019 - 10:33am
 
Radio Paradise NFL Pick'em Group - SeriousLee - Sep 20, 2019 - 9:34am
 
Play the Blues - oldviolin - Sep 20, 2019 - 9:24am
 
HALF A WORLD - oldviolin - Sep 20, 2019 - 9:17am
 
Things I wish for ..... - oldviolin - Sep 20, 2019 - 8:17am
 
Live Music - R_P - Sep 19, 2019 - 7:56pm
 
The Global War on Terror - westslope - Sep 19, 2019 - 6:59pm
 
The House I Want (Today) - Isabeau - Sep 19, 2019 - 2:43pm
 
Bug Reports & Feature Requests - nickferrante10 - Sep 19, 2019 - 2:33pm
 
September 19th is International Talk Like A Pirate Day - oldviolin - Sep 19, 2019 - 1:15pm
 
Cryptic Posts - Leave Them Guessing - oldviolin - Sep 19, 2019 - 12:54pm
 
Health Care - black321 - Sep 19, 2019 - 12:48pm
 
Bob Dylan - R_P - Sep 19, 2019 - 12:02pm
 
Environment - R_P - Sep 19, 2019 - 11:39am
 
Positive Thoughts and Prayer Requests - miamizsun - Sep 19, 2019 - 11:32am
 
Pernicious Pious Proclivities Particularized Prodigiously - R_P - Sep 19, 2019 - 10:33am
 
E.O. Wilson: The Creation - oldviolin - Sep 19, 2019 - 8:59am
 
Canada - sirdroseph - Sep 19, 2019 - 8:50am
 
No RP on Amazon Echo in UK - Jim_Messenger - Sep 19, 2019 - 4:29am
 
RP App for Android - jarro - Sep 19, 2019 - 4:26am
 
Player in Firefox not stable - jarro - Sep 19, 2019 - 4:15am
 
Chair & Posture - haresfur - Sep 18, 2019 - 6:18pm
 
Room 3a - haresfur - Sep 18, 2019 - 6:15pm
 
Food Texture Issues - miamizsun - Sep 18, 2019 - 4:03pm
 
Cooking for Friends.... - oldviolin - Sep 18, 2019 - 12:03pm
 
Celebrity Face Recognition - oldviolin - Sep 18, 2019 - 11:39am
 
Nuclear power - saviour or scourge? - westslope - Sep 18, 2019 - 11:00am
 
Trump Lies - R_P - Sep 18, 2019 - 10:47am
 
Poetry Forum - oldviolin - Sep 18, 2019 - 10:04am
 
Mixtape Culture Club - miamizsun - Sep 18, 2019 - 6:59am
 
Brexit - Coaxial - Sep 18, 2019 - 5:55am
 
Counting with Pictures - yuel - Sep 18, 2019 - 12:53am
 
The Obituary Page - Red_Dragon - Sep 17, 2019 - 2:58pm
 
Strips, cartoons, illustrations - R_P - Sep 17, 2019 - 12:29pm
 
What makes you smile? - PoundPuppy - Sep 17, 2019 - 11:46am
 
Drones - R_P - Sep 17, 2019 - 11:23am
 
Democratic Party - westslope - Sep 17, 2019 - 11:02am
 
The Electoral College - westslope - Sep 17, 2019 - 10:50am
 
What the world needs now is .... - Proclivities - Sep 17, 2019 - 8:50am
 
Vinyl Only Spin List - kurtster - Sep 16, 2019 - 6:40pm
 
Australia has Disappeared - haresfur - Sep 16, 2019 - 3:28pm
 
What song is this... Yoshida Brothers ? - nf_able - Sep 16, 2019 - 1:32pm
 
2020 Elections - miamizsun - Sep 16, 2019 - 11:25am
 
Favorite Quotes - oldviolin - Sep 16, 2019 - 11:03am
 
Thoughts in the Middle of the Night - oldviolin - Sep 16, 2019 - 10:33am
 
Bear! - Proclivities - Sep 16, 2019 - 6:35am
 
9/11 - westslope - Sep 15, 2019 - 10:11pm
 
The Dragons' Roost - Isabeau - Sep 15, 2019 - 8:25pm
 
THE CARS featuring TODD RUNDGREN - kurtster - Sep 15, 2019 - 8:03pm
 
Immigration - R_P - Sep 15, 2019 - 4:00pm
 
Interesting or Weird Cover Versions - SeriousLee - Sep 15, 2019 - 10:52am
 
FLAC stream - amokbunny - Sep 15, 2019 - 4:21am
 
Index » Radio Paradise/General » General Discussion » Trump Page: Previous  1, 2, 3, 4 ... 672, 673, 674  Next
Post to this Topic
kurtster

kurtster Avatar

Location: drifting
Gender: Male


Posted: Sep 16, 2019 - 1:45am

 R_P wrote:
 kurtster wrote:
So yeah, my statement stands
Brent oil, the global benchmark, jumped more than 19% when markets opened Monday. In dollar terms, the nearly $12 surge is the biggest intraday rise since trading began in 1988.
It may be short-lived, but it still qualifies as "a major impact on oil prices", ergo...
  

I don't pay much attention to Brent.  Maybe it went up that much in your currency but not ours.  % wise the increase was the same.  At 3.30am ET, the prices are dropping with NYMEX / WTI back down below $59 and Brent is below $65  both up only 7.5% and 8% respectively and still falling.  By market open over here at 9.30am ET, they both will likely be up only around 5%., or flat since the opening at worst.  This is what happens when computers start trading when markets open after a weekend of drama.

You scare too easily.  You sure couldn't have handled the 60's and then the gas rationing in the 70's when the Oil Embargo was going on.  Life is good, this is a local event in a place far away from here and its immediate impact is slight.  But I do get it.  You are scared to death that the world is going to end in 12 years due to Climate Change.

westslope wrote:
You are both right.

The Mid-East has a major impact, yes.  It simply has less impact than before.  Russian production growth and growing US shale oil production saw to that.

I expect a relatively short-lived price spike assuming the upgrading complex can be back up and running in a few months.  Markets are relatively well supplied, spare capacity is healthy, the global economy is slowing and so is the aggregate demand for oil.

Now, if President Trump would like to make happy those of us financially levered to the price of oil, please invade Iran and occupy it.  The Israelis will love you!   The Saudis will love you!   

In response, Iran will attempt to close the Strait of Hormuz to shipping traffic thus hemming off ~1/3 of global production.   It is the only serious card Iran possesses.    Regardless, oil & gas companies will love you Mr. President!

A US military strike on Iran would definitely impact oil prices.  That would  more than pull oil companies out of the current share price purgatory they occupy.    

Just think of the popular perception.....   US$80 to US$100/bbl Brent Crude. ~$4 to $5+/gallon at the pumps.  (notionally)  I am not sure that most American voters will be too pleased. 
 
You are basically correct as I see this.  While we don't agree all that much, your understanding of global economics and the straightforwardness of your thoughts impresses me.

I am not worried about the USA going to war over this for the first time in my lifetime.  North America is fully energy independent and we do not have to do anything if we do not want to.  No one can hold us over an oil barrel anymore and force us to do things in order to keep a secure supply of petroleum flowing.  Thank whoever you wish that Trump won instead of Hillary.  Trump did in two years for oil production that Obama said would take more than ten years to ramp up, if even that quickly.  Missiles would be flying already because our domestic oil production would have been shut down to a trickle by now if she had won the election.  Look what she did to Libya.  And if Obama was still POTUS, he would have surrendered and or asked Vlad to bail us out like he did in Syria with all that red line stuff because he was doing his best to kill domestic oil production, too.  Syria ... now who really is Putin's bitch ?  Remember him off mic telling what's his nuts to tell Vlad that he could be more flexible after the election.  Maybe what happened to Crimea is what Obama meant by being flexible.  Eh ?????

Anyway, yes Iran holds the Straits of Hormuz in its front pocket.  But that is all they have and if they play it, they have shot their wad and the gloves come off.  They will most likely hold tight to that card as long as they can before they play it.  Bolton is gone, so the war drummer is gone.  We can keep the world energy markets stable for longer than Iran can endure the sanctions on them.  They are just about finished.  The last figure I saw is that their pension system that covers nearly 7 million people is just about bankrupt, their currency inflation since the sanctions is 70% and their economy is expected to contract roughly 25% if they hold their present course.  Their daily oil exports are down to roughly 100k bbls per day.  Down from nearly 1 million per day when the sanctions really took hold.  I guess that they have spent most of the $150 billion that Obama gave them on his way out the door.  If they thought that they could drive up oil prices by blowing up the oil field, they are mistaken.  China (and India) have(s) the most to lose if the Middle East Oil production halts and we have China on the ropes, too.

Trump holds all the cards that matter right now and imho, knows what he is doing and knows how to play them.  He is a proven multi-tasker.  Besides, he is all we have and if people want to keep the world from blowing up, they better start to get behind him and show a united face behind him to the rest of the world right now.  We have never been closer to setting things right in the world than we are right now.  And that does not mean that the USA is going to take over the world.  It means that everyone else is going to have to pull their own weight for the first time since WW II and start carrying their own water.  Obama's / Hillary's / the democrat's goal is to make and keep the USA the water boy / Sugar Daddy of the world, not the leader of the free world. This is what MAGA is really all about.

Pardon my bluntness, but its late and I'm tired.  I hope I made some sense to you and maybe helped inspire a little optimism.  Pollyanna is not one of my hero's ...

Peace, out.

westslope

westslope Avatar

Location: BC sage brush steppe


Posted: Sep 15, 2019 - 10:04pm

You are both right.

The Mid-East has a major impact, yes.  It simply has less impact than before.  Russian production growth and growing US shale oil production saw to that.

I expect a relatively short-lived price spike assuming the upgrading complex can be back up and running in a few months.  Markets are relatively well supplied, spare capacity is healthy, the global economy is slowing and so is the aggregate demand for oil.

Now, if President Trump would like to make happy those of us financially levered to the price of oil, please invade Iran and occupy it.  The Israelis will love you!   The Saudis will love you!   

In response, Iran will attempt to close the Strait of Hormuz to shipping traffic thus hemming off ~1/3 of global production.   It is the only serious card Iran possesses.    Regardless, oil & gas companies will love you Mr. President!

A US military strike on Iran would definitely impact oil prices.  That would  more than pull oil companies out of the current share price purgatory they occupy.    

Just think of the popular perception.....   US$80 to US$100/bbl Brent Crude. ~$4 to $5+/gallon at the pumps.  (notionally)  I am not sure that most American voters will be too pleased. 
R_P

R_P Avatar



Posted: Sep 15, 2019 - 9:46pm

 kurtster wrote:
So yeah, my statement stands.
Brent oil, the global benchmark, jumped more than 19% when markets opened Monday. In dollar terms, the nearly $12 surge is the biggest intraday rise since trading began in 1988.
It may be short-lived, but it still qualifies as "a major impact on oil prices", ergo...
kurtster

kurtster Avatar

Location: drifting
Gender: Male


Posted: Sep 15, 2019 - 8:50pm

 R_P wrote:
 kurtster wrote:
Problems in the Middle East no longer have a major impact on oil prices.

 
I checked the market open on Bloomberg @ 6pm ET and WTI was up only $5 to $59 (less than 10%) from Friday's close.  I just looked again @ 11.30pm ET and it is unchanged since the market opened.  Oil jumped more when the Exxon Valdez ran aground in 1989.  I was on the turnpike when that happened.  I got a call Friday night and was told to raise the price 10¢ per gallon on Saturday and another 10¢ on Sunday and the damn thing still had not stopped moving on the rocks when I got that call.  The NYRBOB harbor price of gas has only gone up 15¢ since Friday's close to $1.70 per gallon and this is in 2019 $'s.  We already hit $60 earlier this summer just based on normal supply fluctuations.  I look at  commodities prices and currency prices many times per day.

So yeah, my statement stands.
islander

islander Avatar

Location: Seattle
Gender: Male


Posted: Sep 15, 2019 - 4:48pm



 kurtster wrote:

+1  

Theoretically, being POTUS is the toughest job in the world.  The events of the day dictate the nature of the job more than the person holding the job.

We are all the sum of our experiences and the baggage we accumulate during our journey through life.  Some people keep things in check better than others and in some cases people just have bad days.  No one is immune from having a bad day.  And when being scrutinized so closely, it is easy to turn a good day into a bad day at the drop of a hat, especially when so many are working as hard as they can to make sure you have a bad day ...
 
I don't recall you being so forgiving during the last presidency. Why the change of heart?  

R_P

R_P Avatar



Posted: Sep 15, 2019 - 4:40pm

 kurtster wrote:
Problems in the Middle East no longer have a major impact on oil prices.


westslope

westslope Avatar

Location: BC sage brush steppe


Posted: Sep 15, 2019 - 3:20pm



 Steely_D wrote:

......"Where's my favorite dictator?!?" ....
 
I grew up in southern Ontario.  More so than other parts of English Canada, in my experience, young males in southern Ontario of northern European stock will 'bond' by copiously insulting each other.   What is it?  Heterosexual male macho intimacy?  You tell me.

It is not a behaviour that necessarily translates well in the rest of the country and certainly not in the rest of the world.

I suspect that Trump is behaving on the international scene just like he did in New York among friends and business acquaintances he would like to become 'friends'.   (Does a guy like Trump have 'real friends' outside of immediate family members?  That is another discussion.) 




Steely_D

Steely_D Avatar

Location: Biscayne Bay
Gender: Male


Posted: Sep 15, 2019 - 2:37pm



 kurtster wrote:

+1  

Theoretically, being POTUS is the toughest job in the world.  The events of the day dictate the nature of the job more than the person holding the job.

We are all the sum of our experiences and the baggage we accumulate during our journey through life.  Some people keep things in check better than others and in some cases people just have bad days.  No one is immune from having a bad day.  And when being scrutinized so closely, it is easy to turn a good day into a bad day at the drop of a hat, especially when so many are working as hard as they can to make sure you have a bad day ...
 

The President deserves intense scrutiny, especially his mental state. And, if it's found wanting, the good of the nation requires that we're aware. Whataboutism (OK let's look at the other candidates) doesn't apply here.

It's a good time to remember that Reagan's diminished capacity was hidden from the country.

Now imagine it's not Reagan and it was Clinton that was developing Alzheimer's.
If Bill Clinton, during his presidency, were losing his memory and his ability to think clearly, should we have been aware? Should he have continued to lead the nation?

Leave the partisan stuff aside. If Clinton, Carter, Reagan, Bush, Obama, or Trump are losing their mental capabilities while in office (from organic or psychological causes) then what should happen?

FWIW, I don't believe Trump has psych issues as much as something organic. Something is causing him to have speech problems, obviously, and it implies something about his ability to process information as well. (Saying that Melania has a son. "Where's my favorite dictator?!?" etc - they don't strike me as someone who just "refuses to play the game because he's a brilliant businessman" but as something that interferes with his ability to not behave like someone's addled grandpa.)
R_P

R_P Avatar



Posted: Sep 15, 2019 - 12:45pm

‘Emperor has no Clothes:’ Trump asked of Egypt’s al-Sisi, ‘Where’s my Favorite Dictator?’
R_P

R_P Avatar



Posted: Sep 15, 2019 - 11:44am

 westslope wrote:
Would not high blood pressure contribute to a reddish cast?    Those gorgeous man breasts and delicious shapely hips typically come at a cost.
 
Yes, more spray-tanning product (to fill the nooks and crannies) during his weekend golf outings, but since he owns the joint, it's a write-off (presentation business expense likely logged at several times the nominal cost)... 
westslope

westslope Avatar

Location: BC sage brush steppe


Posted: Sep 15, 2019 - 11:37am



 R_P wrote:
Trump blamed energy-saving bulbs for making him look orange. Experts say probably not.
On previous occasions, the president’s distinctive complexion has been framed by his aides as a sign of health. In a Times article that ran in the deep of winter this year, a senior administration official said that Trump’s orange skin tone was the result of “good genes.”

 

Would not high blood pressure contribute to a reddish cast?    Those gorgeous man breasts and delicious shapely hips typically come at a cost.

kurtster

kurtster Avatar

Location: drifting
Gender: Male


Posted: Sep 15, 2019 - 10:05am

 aflanigan wrote:


 Coaxial wrote:
 Please, Kurt, you have to see that his mental state has diminished, please admit that, or all else is superfluous because we have no baseline for discussion. 
 
Perhaps it is not so much that his mental state is diminished; he may have had psychiatric pathologies of one sort or another most of his life.  Being president brings a level of scrutiny and  unwanted attention, which may make it much harder for him to conceal his dysfunction.    The unaccustomed close scrutiny could also aggravate things, I imagine.
 
+1  

Theoretically, being POTUS is the toughest job in the world.  The events of the day dictate the nature of the job more than the person holding the job.

We are all the sum of our experiences and the baggage we accumulate during our journey through life.  Some people keep things in check better than others and in some cases people just have bad days.  No one is immune from having a bad day.  And when being scrutinized so closely, it is easy to turn a good day into a bad day at the drop of a hat, especially when so many are working as hard as they can to make sure you have a bad day ...
steeler

steeler Avatar

Location: Perched on the precipice of the cauldron of truth


Posted: Sep 15, 2019 - 9:46am



 Coaxial wrote:
 Please, Kurt, you have to see that his mental state has diminished, please admit that, or all else is superfluous because we have no baseline for discussion. 
 

Related: Pat McCrory was on Meet the Press and he opined that the 10 Dems did not appear “presidential” during Thursday’s debate. He reasoned that their failure to present themselves as presidential would defang that issue as to Trump. Seriously.
aflanigan

aflanigan Avatar

Location: At Sea
Gender: Male


Posted: Sep 15, 2019 - 8:25am



 Coaxial wrote:
 Please, Kurt, you have to see that his mental state has diminished, please admit that, or all else is superfluous because we have no baseline for discussion. 
 
Perhaps it is not so much that his mental state is diminished; he may have had psychiatric pathologies of one sort or another most of his life.  Being president brings a level of scrutiny and  unwanted attention, which may make it much harder for him to conceal his dysfunction.    The unaccustomed close scrutiny could also aggravate things, I imagine.
Coaxial

Coaxial Avatar

Location: 543 miles west of Paradis,1491 miles eas
Gender: Male


Posted: Sep 15, 2019 - 7:17am

 kurtster wrote:
I keep seeing posts about Trump's so called mental state that violate the spirit and intent of the Goldwater Rule.

Perhaps it is time to openly speculate about the mental state of his democratic opponents.  If so, we should start with the three front runners to be fair.

How about Biden and Warren being pathological liars ?  Or are they suffering from the onset of dementia ?  Easy to make the case for both.  Bernie is just a garden variety liar.  But he also has his own issues.
  Please, Kurt, you have to see that his mental state has diminished, please admit that, or all else is superfluous because we have no baseline for discussion. 
kurtster

kurtster Avatar

Location: drifting
Gender: Male


Posted: Sep 15, 2019 - 4:37am

I keep seeing posts about Trump's so called mental state that violate the spirit and intent of the Goldwater Rule.

Perhaps it is time to openly speculate about the mental state of his democratic opponents.  If so, we should start with the three front runners to be fair.

How about Biden and Warren being pathological liars ?  Or are they suffering from the onset of dementia ?  Easy to make the case for both.  Bernie is just a garden variety liar.  But he also has his own issues.
Steely_D

Steely_D Avatar

Location: Biscayne Bay
Gender: Male


Posted: Sep 15, 2019 - 3:53am

Trump is not well


FTA:

Donald Trump’s disordered personality—his unhealthy patterns of thinking, functioning, and behaving—has become the defining characteristic of his presidency. It manifests itself in multiple ways: his extreme narcissism; his addiction to lying about things large and small, including his finances and bullying and silencing those who could expose them; his detachment from reality, including denying things he said even when there is video evidence to the contrary; his affinity for conspiracy theories; his demand for total loyalty from others while showing none to others; and his self-aggrandizement and petty cheating.

It manifests itself in Trump’s impulsiveness and vindictiveness; his craving for adulation; his misogyny, predatory sexual behavior, and sexualization of his daughters; his open admiration for brutal dictators; his remorselessness; and his lack of empathy and sympathy, including attacking a family whose son died while fighting for this country, mocking a reporter with a disability, and ridiculing a former POW.


R_P

R_P Avatar



Posted: Sep 14, 2019 - 6:50pm

Trump blamed energy-saving bulbs for making him look orange. Experts say probably not.
On previous occasions, the president’s distinctive complexion has been framed by his aides as a sign of health. In a Times article that ran in the deep of winter this year, a senior administration official said that Trump’s orange skin tone was the result of “good genes.”

hayduke2

hayduke2 Avatar

Location: Southampton, NY
Gender: Male


Posted: Sep 14, 2019 - 8:31am

When Hollywood Warned Us About Leaders Like Trump  (Putin's pliant puppet)
R_P

R_P Avatar



Posted: Sep 13, 2019 - 8:48pm

Trump explains his distinctive orange hue: it's the lightbulbs
Page: Previous  1, 2, 3, 4 ... 672, 673, 674  Next