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ScottFromWyoming

ScottFromWyoming Avatar

Location: Powell
Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 11, 2018 - 12:37pm

 Lazy8 wrote:
 ScottFromWyoming wrote:
It's all so convoluted, no one article can get all the factors straight. At least, I'm pretty sure the US government still has price supports on dairy. So US farmers can afford to produce more for less, which is unfair to Canadian dairy farmers, except they probably also get price supports... 
 
Dairy is a huge hairball. Even states within the US regulate trade in dairy products with a protectionist bent.
 
My neighbors are dairy farmers and they're all trying to sell off their herds—dairies have become so productive that we don't need near as many as we have, and the interventions have masked the problem until the resulting shake-out will be pretty devastating.
 
When you build dikes that doesn't stop the sea from rising, it just makes the water level higher when it finally floods.
 
I wondered about that. Seems like there's a lot of "value-added" dairy happening, but maybe that's just the trend toward hipster food. I like that there are cheesemakers all over the place, but I also wondered whether the cost of entry was now low enough that anyone can give it a go.
R_P

R_P Avatar

Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 11, 2018 - 12:32pm


steeler

steeler Avatar

Location: Perched on the precipice of the cauldron of truth


Posted: Jun 11, 2018 - 12:27pm

 Steely_D wrote:

That's the part that would ruin our international relationships: each President simply rejects the agreements made by the prior administration. That's not good negotiation skills; it's chaos.
Absolutely rethink each agreement as they come up for discussion, but for goodness' sake don't just welsh on the extant contracts we have with other nations. That's wrong.

 
It is roughly equivalent to the concept of stare decisis in the judicial system.  A court will be extremely circumspect when considering the reversal of a precedent. The system itself loses credibility if reversals of precedents were common.      
Lazy8

Lazy8 Avatar

Location: The Gallatin Valley of Montana
Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 11, 2018 - 12:25pm

 black321 wrote:
first comment...to the point he's trying to renegotiate.  Though i agree where we need, to some extent, stick by past agreements, even if they were bad for the US.
and last comment....i tend to agree, and dont like the tweets.  Still, I think he has a point.  
 
Past agreements were negotiated in a context. We accepted high tariffs on one favored industry to get lower tariffs on another. That reflected the political realities of the time, not necessarily those of today, but there was give and take involved. It wasn't just weakness.
 
If we don't keep our agreements why bother entering them with us? If there are aspects that don't make sense any more or are no longer politically acceptable then make it clear what parts you object to and bring it up in the context of renegotiating the treaty. But be aware that for everything you get you'll have to give up something. Nobody pisses off their constituents for free.
 
When Trump was complaining about trade agreements or the Iran nuclear deal he railed against them as bad for America but never listed anything specific he objected to. My guess as to why was that he had no idea what was in those deals in the first place, but that's a guess. Maybe he's more knowledgeable than he looks. But he'd have to be a LOT more knowledgeable than he looks, because he looks (in the immortal words of Baxter Black) "dumber than boiled gravel."

Steely_D

Steely_D Avatar

Location: Biscayne Bay
Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 11, 2018 - 11:54am

 black321 wrote:

first comment...to the point he's trying to renegotiate.  Though i agree where we need, to some extent, stick by past agreements, even if they were bad for the US.
and last comment....i tend to agree, and dont like the tweets.  Still, I think he has a point.  

 
That's the part that would ruin our international relationships: each President simply rejects the agreements made by the prior administration. That's not good negotiation skills; it's chaos.
Absolutely rethink each agreement as they come up for discussion, but for goodness' sake don't just welsh on the extant contracts we have with other nations. That's wrong.
R_P

R_P Avatar

Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 11, 2018 - 11:49am

 black321 wrote:
regardless, US aggregate trade imbalances arent due to tariffs, but cheap labor.
 
I doubt there's a single factor that's responsible.
Lazy8

Lazy8 Avatar

Location: The Gallatin Valley of Montana
Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 11, 2018 - 11:32am

 ScottFromWyoming wrote:
It's all so convoluted, no one article can get all the factors straight. At least, I'm pretty sure the US government still has price supports on dairy. So US farmers can afford to produce more for less, which is unfair to Canadian dairy farmers, except they probably also get price supports... 
 
Dairy is a huge hairball. Even states within the US regulate trade in dairy products with a protectionist bent.
 
My neighbors are dairy farmers and they're all trying to sell off their herds—dairies have become so productive that we don't need near as many as we have, and the interventions have masked the problem until the resulting shake-out will be pretty devastating.
 
When you build dikes that doesn't stop the sea from rising, it just makes the water level higher when it finally floods.



black321

black321 Avatar

Location: An earth without maps
Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 11, 2018 - 11:32am

 R_P wrote:
Another rather basic fact is that the US has a population of ~327 million people, whereas Canada has around 35-36 million. That's one 'imbalance' that will necessarily be reflected in trade.

 
regardless, US aggregate trade imbalances arent due to tariffs, but cheap labor. 
R_P

R_P Avatar

Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 11, 2018 - 11:28am

Another rather basic fact is that the US has a population of ~327 million people, whereas Canada has around 35-36 million. That's one 'imbalance' that will necessarily be reflected in trade.
black321

black321 Avatar

Location: An earth without maps
Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 11, 2018 - 11:25am

 R_P wrote:

Learn to respect, A, the sovereignty of other countries (i.e. the regulations they feel they need to protect their consumers, like hormones and milk) and B, the deals that were made in the past. Trump does neither. If you believe that past administrations were incapable of concluding deals that were beneficial or trade-offs for both parties, than Donnie has just the top-notch economic degree for you via his defunct university.

If you want to deregulate a la Pruitt and ignore for example Climate agreements (because ultimately it's good/better for your business), go ahead, but don't expect (or worse yet, force) others to do the same.
 
It amounts to bully tactics, nothing more, nothing less. And that's not new to Trump either, just more excessive.


 
first comment...to the point he's trying to renegotiate.  Though i agree where we need, to some extent, stick by past agreements, even if they were bad for the US.
and last comment....i tend to agree, and dont like the tweets.  Still, I think he has a point.  
ScottFromWyoming

ScottFromWyoming Avatar

Location: Powell
Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 11, 2018 - 11:22am

 black321 wrote:
Not as comprehensive, but not a bad summary of tariffs.  Seems Donnie has a point

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-44438908

 
It's all so convoluted, no one article can get all the factors straight. At least, I'm pretty sure the US government still has price supports on dairy. So US farmers can afford to produce more for less, which is unfair to Canadian dairy farmers, except they probably also get price supports... 
R_P

R_P Avatar

Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 11, 2018 - 11:20am

 black321 wrote:
Not as comprehensive, but not a bad summary of tariffs.  Seems Donnie has a point

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-44438908
 
Learn to respect, A, the sovereignty of other countries (i.e. the regulations they feel they need to protect their consumers, like on hormones and milk) and B, the deals that were made in the past. Trump does neither. If you believe that past administrations were incapable of concluding deals that were beneficial or trade-offs for both parties, than Donnie has just the top-notch economic degree for you via his defunct university.

If you want to deregulate a la Pruitt and ignore for example Climate agreements (because ultimately it's good/better for your business), go ahead, but don't expect (or worse yet, force) others to do the same.
 
It amounts to bully tactics, nothing more, nothing less. And that's not new to Trump either, just more excessive.

black321

black321 Avatar

Location: An earth without maps
Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 11, 2018 - 10:59am

Not as comprehensive, but not a bad summary of tariffs.  Seems Donnie has a point

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-44438908
aflanigan

aflanigan Avatar

Location: At Sea
Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 11, 2018 - 10:46am

 Steely_D wrote:


 
It's actually karmic punishment for the Toronto Maple Leafs having the audacity to get into the NHL playoffs for the third year in a row.
pigtail

pigtail Avatar

Location: Southern California
Gender: Female


Posted: Jun 11, 2018 - 10:25am

 Steely_D wrote:


 
I'll second that!!!
Steely_D

Steely_D Avatar

Location: Biscayne Bay
Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 11, 2018 - 10:13am


pigtail

pigtail Avatar

Location: Southern California
Gender: Female


Posted: Jun 11, 2018 - 10:12am


https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/10/world/canada/g-7-justin-trudeau-trump.html


The ink had barely dried on the communiqué after the G-7 summit meeting in 
Charlevoix, Quebec, when President Trump berated Mr. Trudeau on Twitter from Air Force One, accusing him of being “very dishonest and weak” and of making up “false statements.”
steeler

steeler Avatar

Location: Perched on the precipice of the cauldron of truth


Posted: Jun 11, 2018 - 10:05am

 ScottFromWyoming wrote:

I assume someone can easily compile a similar firehose of bullshit for "right-leaning" news outlets, even without relying on Fox. But in all cases, it's the fault of the internet. If more than one reporter has access to the data or the interview etc., it's a race to be first. Having only a daily deadline for a morning paper seems quaint.

Watched Spotlight yesterday, about the Boston Globe investigation of the Catholic church priests scandal. There was huge pressure from the reporters and competition to write the article when they had the priest. Then when they had the Cardinal. Sitting on the story, they might see it all evaporate or the competition break it, but they wanted to put it all together in one big feature. It wasn't that long ago, but the "publish now" voices would have won the day. They probably would have put each day's notes online without even going thru the editor until later.

 
"Investigative Journalist who tries to give you information others don't want you to have."  That is always a red flag — to me.  I'm the one bringing you the news that others are trying to hide from you.  The ol' "you won't read this anywhere but here" self-promotion.

One of her indictments of the media is the Detroit Free Press prematurely calling Michigan for Clinton, instead of Trump.  Those, of course, are election night projections, and are understood as such.  A mistake, sure. A big one. Hardly evidence of bias.         



ScottFromWyoming

ScottFromWyoming Avatar

Location: Powell
Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 11, 2018 - 8:52am

 Beaker wrote:
By now, you all should know better than to trust whatever your liberal-biased media spews.  But gosh, some of you still fall for it, over and over.
Sharyl Attkisson: 50 Media Mistakes in the Trump Era: The Definitive List

And yet your media hacks still go at it.

Trump will do for the liberal media what Obama did for coal.

 
I assume someone can easily compile a similar firehose of bullshit for "right-leaning" news outlets, even without relying on Fox. But in all cases, it's the fault of the internet. If more than one reporter has access to the data or the interview etc., it's a race to be first. Having only a daily deadline for a morning paper seems quaint.

Watched Spotlight yesterday, about the Boston Globe investigation of the Catholic church priests scandal. There was huge pressure from the reporters and competition to write the article when they had the priest. Then when they had the Cardinal. Sitting on the story, they might see it all evaporate or the competition break it, but they wanted to put it all together in one big feature. It wasn't that long ago, but the "publish now" voices would have won the day. They probably would have put each day's notes online without even going thru the editor until later.
black321

black321 Avatar

Location: An earth without maps
Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 11, 2018 - 7:30am

Some good news?  At least for the short-term.  The tax cut (not reform) put the economy on steroids...just wait till your hair falls out, and your balls shrivel up (deficit/debt).

Opinion: Trump economy is doing fine, to the chagrin of the dismal science


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