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Index » Radio Paradise/General » General Discussion » Climate Change Page: Previous  1, 2, 3 ... 94, 95, 96 ... 125, 126, 127  Next
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Lazy8

Lazy8 Avatar

Location: The Gallatin Valley of Montana
Gender: Male


Posted: Mar 2, 2010 - 9:18am

 Beaker wrote:
Your beef is with Science Daily and the University of Bristol.  Take it up with them. 

Sorry to see you bottom feeding like this.
 
My beef is with an ignorant and superficial examination of a second-hand report of a scientific paper. The conclusions are so clearly wrong (and so easily disproven) it's comical.

There are legitimate complaints about hyperbole among climate alarmists. That does not mean every bit of science supporting their claims is wrong or dishonest, or that the hypothesis they're pushing (however far they're pushing it, and whatever their motives) is completely wrong.

But if you want to sound the bell about such things you have to avoid falling into the same trap—of trumpeting every scrap of evidence contrary to the hypothesis you disagree with as a smoking gun proving the whole thing is a tissue of lies. By all means point out flaws in the science! But to do that requires more than reading a blog written by people who clearly do not know what they are talking about. And the more often you post stuff like the above the less credible you'll be doing it.

marko86

marko86 Avatar

Location: North TX
Gender: Male


Posted: Mar 2, 2010 - 9:10am

If hoot means intellectually challenged, then yes, he is a hoot. He is not really capable of reading beyond the headlines. If you would like to know the big picture.
Figure 2: Annual global CO2 emissions from fossil fuel burning and cement manufacture in GtC yr?1 (black), annual averages of the 13C/12C ratio measured in atmospheric CO2 at Mauna Loa from 1981 to 2002 (red). ). The isotope data are expressed as δ13C(CO2) ‰ (per mil) deviation from a calibration standard. Note that this scale is inverted to improve clarity. (IPCC AR4)
Figure 2: Annual global CO2 emissions from fossil fuel burning and cement manufacture in GtC yr?1 (black), annual averages of the 13C/12C ratio measured in atmospheric CO2 at Mauna Loa from 1981 to 2002 (red). ). The isotope data are expressed as δ13C(CO2) ‰ (per mil) deviation from a calibration standard. Note that this scale is inverted to improve clarity. (IPCC AR4)

http://www.skepticalscience.com/human-co2-smaller-than-natural-emissions.htm

About 40% of human CO2 emissions are being absorbed, mostly by vegetation and the oceans. The rest remains in the atmosphere. As a consequence, atmospheric CO2 is at its highest level in 15 to 20 million years (Tripati 2009). A natural change of 100ppm normally takes 5,000 to 20.000 years. The recent increase of 100ppm has taken just 120 years.

Additional confirmation that rising CO2 levels are due to human activity comes from examining the ratio of carbon isotopes (eg ? carbon atoms with differing numbers of neutrons) found in the atmosphere. Carbon 12 has 6 neutrons, carbon 13 has 7 neutrons. Plants have a lower C13/C12 ratio than in the atmosphere. If rising atmospheric CO2 comes fossil fuels, the C13/C12 should be falling. Indeed this is what is occurring (Ghosh 2003). The C13/C12 ratio correlates with the trend in global emissions.


hippiechick

hippiechick Avatar

Location: topsy turvy land
Gender: Female


Posted: Mar 2, 2010 - 8:58am

 Beaker wrote:

Your beef is with Science Daily and the University of Bristol.  Take it up with them. 

Sorry to see you bottom feeding like this.

 
Beaker, you are a hoot!

Lazy8

Lazy8 Avatar

Location: The Gallatin Valley of Montana
Gender: Male


Posted: Mar 2, 2010 - 8:40am

 Beaker wrote:

Another American media failure

<...>

Look how well you are being served on this topic by your MSM betters.  As if anyone really needs to ponder why so many are ill-informed on the world and topics that affect all of us.
 
Just picked a link at random and read the article "No rise in atmospheric carbon fraction over the last 150 years: University of Bristol". It reports that the fraction of carbon dioxide remaining in the atmosphere and that absorbed by the oceans hasn't changed in a long time and concludes that CO2 levels haven't risen in 150 years.

This conclusion is flat wrong, contradicted by numerous measurements from numerous sources and silly on the face of it. The rate of emission has risen dramatically over 150 years, so while the fractions heading to various fates hasn't changed the absolute amounts has—they've gone up, as every measurement anybody has tried to make has demonstrated.

This is like saying that since the strength of the beer I drink is the same doubling the amount I consume won't increase my alcohol intake.

Or maybe they tried that experiment over at Hot Air.

marko86

marko86 Avatar

Location: North TX
Gender: Male


Posted: Mar 1, 2010 - 9:54am

 Beaker wrote:

IPCC “science” on hurricanes no longer settled, either


"In the aftermath of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita in 2005, anthropogenic global warming (AGW) activists insisted that the stronger storm systems resulted from the build-up of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, making hurricanes increasingly more severe.  These claims made their way into the UN’s IPCC report and have been a staple of AGW arguments for immediate and drastic action to limit energy production as part of the “settled science” attempt to shut down debate.  Unfortunately for the hysterics, new peer-reviewed research published in Nature Geoscience concludes that hurricane strength has little to do with global warming:"

 

Old shit. No, hurricanes are not considered to be a cornerstone in the IPCC report and again changes nothing on the basic premise of AGW, but serously doubt you are capable of complex thought.

http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2007/04/shear-turbulence/

"We have commented on the connections between hurricanes and climate change frequently in the past (see e.g. here, here, here, and here). The bottom line conclusion has consistently remained that, while our knowledge of likely future changes in hurricanes or tropical cyclones (TCs) remains an uncertain area of science, the observed relationship between increased intensity of TCs and rising ocean temperatures appears to be robust (Figure 1). There is nothing in this latest article that changes that."
Inamorato

Inamorato Avatar

Location: Twin Cities
Gender: Male


Posted: Feb 28, 2010 - 5:38am

It will be good to eliminate any questionable science or unsubstantiated assertions from the IPCC report. Those things only give ammunition to the climate-change-is-a-hoax crowd.

U.N. to create science panel to review IPCC

By Sunanda Creagh

NUSA DUA, Indonesia (Reuters) - An independent board of scientists is to review the work of a U.N. climate panel, whose credibility came under attack after it published errors, a U.N. environment spokesman said on Friday.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) accepted last month that its 2007 report had exaggerated the pace of melt of Himalayan glaciers, and this month admitted the report had also overstated how much of the Netherlands is below sea level.

The report shared the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize with former U.S. Vice President Al Gore, and has driven political momentum to agree a new, more ambitious climate treaty to replace the Kyoto Protocol.

The remit and process of the review panel would be disclosed next week, said Nick Nuttall, spokesman for the U.N. Environment Programme, on the sidelines of a UNEP conference of environment ministers and officials from more than 135 countries in the Indonesian island of Bali.

"It will be a credible, sensible review of how the IPCC operates, to strengthen its fifth report," he said.

"It should do a review of the IPCC, produce a report by, say, August. There is a plenary of the IPCC in South Korea in October. The review will go there for adoption. I think we are bringing some level of closure to this issue."

The latest, fourth IPCC report was published in 2007 and the next is due in 2014.

HUMANS TO BLAME

All options are on the table for the review, Nuttall said, including, how to treat "grey literature" — a term for academic papers which are not published in peer-reviewed journals.

The IPCC had said that the Himalayas could melt by 2035, but an original source spoke of the world's glaciers melting by 2350, not 2035. The IPCC report had cited the 2035 year from a non-peer reviewed WWF paper, which in turn had referred to a Scientific American article.

Public conviction of global warming's risks may have been undermined by the panel's errors and by the disclosure of hacked emails revealing scientists sniping at skeptics, who leapt on these as evidence of data fixing.

Pachauri told Reuters on Wednesday that the IPCC stood by its main 2007 finding — that it was more than 90 percent certain that human activities were the main cause of global warming in the past 50 years.

Governments and ministers attending the conference this week in Bali reaffirmed their confidence that manmade greenhouse gas emissions were stoking climate change, said Nuttall.

"There was absolutely no government, no minister of environment who attended that meeting who said that the IPCC was the wrong vehicle for understanding the science of climate change," Nuttall added.

The IPCC's 2007 assessment report on the causes and impacts of climate change was over 3,000 pages long, cited more than 10,000 scientific papers and is policymakers' main data source.


samiyam

samiyam Avatar

Location: Moving North


Posted: Feb 28, 2010 - 5:13am

 helenofjoy wrote:
How 'bout them ice shelves?

 
What Ice Shelves? 

helenofjoy

helenofjoy Avatar

Location: Lincoln, Nebraska
Gender: Female


Posted: Feb 26, 2010 - 5:12pm

How 'bout them ice shelves?
HazzeSwede

HazzeSwede Avatar

Location: Hammerdal
Gender: Male


Posted: Feb 26, 2010 - 2:35am

 kestrel wrote:
Putting together an EARTH web site for teachers/students/people incl page on climate change, still under construction, but please take a peek.

http://murphsearthreport.com/

 
        {#Clap}    {#Yes}   {#Cool}
R_P

R_P Avatar

Gender: Male


Posted: Feb 25, 2010 - 9:40pm

The FP Guide to Climate Skeptics
Can't tell the legitimate concerns from the nonsense? FP is here to help.
The field of climate science is under duress, which is wholly different than saying it's discredited. While recent headlines about the woes of U.N.-led efforts to assemble a comprehensive picture of the science have caused gleeful headlines on The Drudge Report and other skeptical media outlets, the vast weight of the evidence — from melting glaciers to warming oceans to satellite temperature readings, and much more — still points to a changing climate caused by human activity. (...)

R_P

R_P Avatar

Gender: Male


Posted: Feb 25, 2010 - 4:47pm

Standard issue denialist and pseudo-skeptic Inhoaxer:
Q.  Who are the perpetrators of the hoax?

A. That’s the United Nations and the IPCC, clearly.


Q. Major energy companies have said they believe the scientific consensus on climate change. ExxonMobil said the appropriate debate isn’t on whether the climate is changing, but what we should do about it. NASA, NOAA, the Pentagon, the Pope, evangelical leaders, top executives in all industries, and governments all over the world including China and India—they’ve all acknowledged climate change. Do you believe that all of these entities have been scammed by the U.N. and a handful of scientists in the IPCC?

A. What you’ve just said is not true. There’s not unanimity at all even though you want to believe it.  

NOAA and NASA and all these organizations, these people are all tied in to the IPCC. There are a lot of companies, oil companies and all that, who would like to have cap-and-trade. That’s where they can make money.


Q. What do you believe is the motive of the U.N.? What is the motive of the scientists who are perpetrating the hoax? How do you think they stand to benefit?

A. They stand to benefit government grants and private sector grants like the Heinz Foundation.

We have scientists who are really sincere, and they’ve watched what’s going on and they have a hard time believing it. Those are the ones who started going to me probably seven or eight years ago, saying they’re cooking the science on this, someone’s got to say it, and I said it. And then more of them came. I listed them on my website. I’ve been very clear all along who the perpetrators were, what the motives were.


kestrel

kestrel Avatar

Location: Southern shore of Lake Superior
Gender: Male


Posted: Feb 25, 2010 - 3:47pm

Putting together an EARTH web site for teachers/students/people incl page on climate change, still under construction, but please take a peek.

http://murphsearthreport.com/


Welly

Welly Avatar

Location: Lotusland
Gender: Female


Posted: Feb 24, 2010 - 12:12pm

 oldviolin wrote:


What if the exhaust could be redirected to amplify the output of a steam turbine, as with a turbocharger? It would take some fairly simple engineering for some gifted folks in that field I would think. There would obviously be some further exhaust gases, but maybe a different output could be concieved, on until there were only nominal pollutants.

 
The problem is that the embedded energy that goes into making the stuff that we throw away is lost forever.
You may get the equivalent of a barrel of oil's worth of energy out of burning a ton of garbage, but it likely took 4 barrels to make the stuff in the first place.
It doesn't make economic sense.These facilities are not scaleable and are built to burn at a certain efficiency rate. If the garbage is reduced at any point the contract usually allows the operator to bring ingarbage from another jursidiction to keep the burn rate constant.
It does nothing to encourage reduction of consumerism or waste reduction.
And then there are the air emissions...dioxins being one of the worst players.
I could go on...and on!

marko86

marko86 Avatar

Location: North TX
Gender: Male


Posted: Feb 24, 2010 - 10:03am

 Beaker wrote:
Actually, it seems you have missed the salient point and for some unknown reason, over-stated what the article actually says.  One more time:

"Scientists have been forced to withdraw a study on projected sea level rise due to global warming after finding mistakes that undermined the findings."  This study had ... "confirmed the conclusions of the 2007 report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)."

But hey, thanks anyways for your even-handed contributions to this topic.



 

So it is irrelevent that they have under-estimated? This is either willfully ignorant or you really do not understand the scientific process. I suspect this will be same tired argument that will be brought up as the IPCC revises their estimates in the future based on newer and better data/research. The earth's climate is extremely complicated and there is still much they do not know but on the other-hand there is much they do know and nothing has changed to the  2 under-lying facts. A.) Global warming is occuring and B.) It's prevalent cause is the greenhouse gases made by people.
oldviolin

oldviolin Avatar

Location: esse quam videri
Gender: Male


Posted: Feb 24, 2010 - 9:29am

 Inamorato wrote:

There are, and some not far away, like me. I think there is a growing awareness that burning things to get energy is ultimately not very green, as appealing as it might seem to make our vast amount of trash just "disappear" into energy.
 

What if the exhaust could be redirected to amplify the output of a steam turbine, as with a turbocharger? It would take some fairly simple engineering for some gifted folks in that field I would think. There would obviously be some further exhaust gases, but maybe a different output could be concieved, on until there were only nominal pollutants.


Inamorato

Inamorato Avatar

Location: Twin Cities
Gender: Male


Posted: Feb 24, 2010 - 9:14am

 Welly wrote:
Any RPeeps in Minneapolis?

Finance & Commerce

Tech and Energy February 24, 2010

by Bob Geiger Staff Writer  Following last week’s introduction of a bill that would scrap municipal garbage burning and landfill gas as renewable energy sources, the chair of a House panel said existing burners may be exempted from a proposed ban.
 
There are, and some not far away, like me. I think there is a growing awareness that burning things to get energy is ultimately not very green, as appealing as it might seem to make our vast amount of trash just "disappear" into energy.

Welly

Welly Avatar

Location: Lotusland
Gender: Female


Posted: Feb 24, 2010 - 9:02am

Any RPeeps in Minneapolis?

Finance & Commerce

Tech and Energy February 24, 2010

by Bob Geiger Staff Writer

Following last week’s introduction of a bill that would scrap municipal garbage burning and landfill gas as renewable energy sources, the chair of a House panel said existing burners may be exempted from a proposed ban.

“We make exemptions for things all the time. And this is a thing that I think can be dealt with,” said state Rep. Bill Hilty, DFL-Finlayson, who heads the Energy Finance and Policy division of the powerful House Finance Committee. Hilty said he “can’t think of a compelling use for refuse burners,” or for having the public produce enough waste to feed landfills containing materials that generate methane gas — some of which are tapped by utilities to generate energy.

His comments came after the Feb. 18 introduction of H.F. 3060 by state Rep. Frank Hornstein, DFL-Minneapolis. That measure would delete municipal garbage burners and landfill gas from technologies that utilities can claim as sources of renewable energy. That’s pertinent to utilities because it takes away two energy technologies specified in 2007 legislation that requires Minnesota electric utilities to produce at least 25 percent of their energy from renewable resources by 2025.

Both waste-to-energy and landfill gas are considered renewable energy technologies under that legislation, which established Minnesota’s renewable energy standard. Hornstein voted for that bill, but said Hennepin County’s 2009 proposal to increase the amount of garbage from 1,000 tons to 1,212 tons a day renewed his interest in the issue.

“To look at garbage as a renewable fuel means encouraging production of more garbage because it produces more energy,” said Hornstein, who added, “I think we need to have a real, honest conversation about what is renewable energy and what are the characteristics of renewable energy.”

Read the rest here

R_P

R_P Avatar

Gender: Male


Posted: Feb 24, 2010 - 8:44am

 marko86 wrote:
So did you actually look into it any further? I don't know why I bother but here:

http://www.skepticalscience.com/Misinterpreting-retraction-of-rising-sea-level-predictions.html
"

A new skeptic argument has emerged that upon close inspection, is a polar opposite to the scientific reality. This week, scientists who published a 2009 paper on sea level rise retracted their prediction due to errors in their methodology. This has led some to claim sea levels are no longer predicted to rise. This interpretation was helped no doubt by the unfortunate Guardian headline "Climate scientists withdraw journal claims of rising sea levels". However, when you read the article and peruse the peer-reviewed science on future sea level, you learn that the opposite is the case.

The IPCC 4th Assessment Report predicted sea level will rise between 18 to 59 cm by the year 2100. Many consider this a conservative estimate as observed sea level rise is tracking at the top range of IPCC estimates (Rahmstorf 2007, Allison 2009). However, a study led by Mark Siddall examined how sea levels have changed over the past 22,000 years in response to temperature change (Siddall 2009). This enabled them to predict how sea level would respond to future warming, estimating sea level rise between 7 to 82 cm by the year 2100. Siddall's paper concluded that this increased confidence in the IPCC projections.

However, a later study using similar methods to Siddall 2009 came to dramatically different results, estimating sea level rise of 75 to 190 cm by 2100 (Vermeer & Rahmstorf 2009). Why the discrepancy? Judging by the acknowledgement in Siddall's retraction, one speculates that Vermeer and Rahmstorf discovered flaws in Siddall's methodology and notified the authors. Siddall saw that the errors undermined their results and retracted their paper. So we have two papers using similar methods - one predicting low sea level rise, the other predicting high sea level rise. The low sea level rise is found to be in error. While some are spinning this result to imply no sea level rise, in actuality it increases our confidence in high sea level rise.

 

That should be "a new pseudo-skeptic argument has emerged"... {#Mrgreen}

Also interesting, demographically:
The first case study I've posted reveals how a coalition of US coal companies sought to persuade people that the science is uncertain. It listed the two social groups it was trying to reach – "Target 1: Older, less educated males"; "Target 2: Younger, lower income women" – and the methods by which it would reach them. One of its findings was that "members of the public feel more confident expressing opinions on others' motivations and tactics than they do expressing opinions on scientific issues".

oldviolin

oldviolin Avatar

Location: esse quam videri
Gender: Male


Posted: Feb 24, 2010 - 8:40am

 jadewahoo wrote:
 oldviolin wrote:

{#Good-vibes}Our differences are what make us stronger. Simplicity of character is the natural result of profound thought...
At some salient point, however, belief is a concept without a worldly backdrop. Hence the knock is heard and the door opened, but only by 
and for a humble spirit.

You went away and left long time ago
Now your knocking on my door
I hear you knocking
But you can't come in
I hear you knocking
Go back where you been I begged you not to go but you said goodbye
Now your telling me all your lies
I hear you knocking
But you can't come in
I hear you knocking
Go back where you been You better get back to your used to be
'Cause your kind of love ain't good for me
I hear you knocking
But you can't come in
I hear you knocking
Go back where you been I told you way back in '52
That I would never go with you
I hear you knocking
But you can't come in
I hear you knocking
Go back where you been
~Dave Edmunds

 
Watch it, buddy. I carry a pitch-fork with your name on it.{#Wink}

sirdroseph

sirdroseph Avatar

Location: Not here, I tell you wat
Gender: Male


Posted: Feb 24, 2010 - 8:40am

 oldviolin wrote:

{#Good-vibes}Our differences are what make us stronger. Simplicity of character is the natural result of profound thought...
At some salient point, however, belief is a concept without a worldly backdrop. Hence the knock is heard and the door opened, but only by 
and for a humble spirit.

 

Dig.{#Meditate}
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