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rgio

rgio Avatar

Location: West Jersey
Gender: Male


Posted: Apr 7, 2025 - 10:45am

 islander wrote:
I've had a few frustrating conversations with people on this. "just wait", "4d chess", "he's a genius"... yeah, well no one is able to articulate a way this is going to work out for most of the US.  Honestly it seems like he's hoping for some level of societal collapse so that he can divy up the remains between his pals. I still don't see how that is a net positive for them though. There is plenty of room for graft and outright theft in the current system. I don't see how they think it's better if you make it half the size and then split it 6 ways

Part of my thinks he's going to cancel everything....and tip that information to his friends and family plan members a day or two before the swing back.  It's obviously traceable... but who cares when you can pardon anyone you'd like, and punish those who get in the way.  

Law and order.  They'll show those DEI and BLM warriors how real weaponization of the justice system works.

islander

islander Avatar

Location: West coast somewhere
Gender: Male


Posted: Apr 7, 2025 - 10:27am

 black321 wrote:


I'm trying, really trying to see if there is any silver lining in all this...J curve?...but it all just seems like an effort to create as much chaos as possible over the next 18 months before midterms.


I've had a few frustrating conversations with people on this. "just wait", "4d chess", "he's a genius"... yeah, well no one is able to articulate a way this is going to work out for most of the US.  Honestly it seems like he's hoping for some level of societal collapse so that he can divy up the remains between his pals. I still don't see how that is a net positive for them though. There is plenty of room for graft and outright theft in the current system. I don't see how they think it's better if you make it half the size and then split it 6 ways
black321

black321 Avatar

Location: An earth without maps
Gender: Male


Posted: Apr 7, 2025 - 9:18am

 NoEnzLefttoSplit wrote:

Hat tip to Lazy putting me onto the guy a couple of years ago. He's got some great turns of phrase, describing Trump's tariffs as akin to operating on a brain tumour with a brick. 




I'm trying, really trying to see if there is any silver lining in all this...J curve?...but it all just seems like an effort to create as much chaos as possible over the next 18 months before midterms.
NoEnzLefttoSplit

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Gender: Male


Posted: Apr 7, 2025 - 12:32am

Hat tip to Lazy putting me onto the guy a couple of years ago. He's got some great turns of phrase, describing Trump's tariffs as akin to operating on a brain tumour with a brick. 

kcar

kcar Avatar



Posted: Apr 5, 2025 - 1:31pm

 rgio wrote:

Ironically, Haverford is now foundational for right wing insanity, after a solid run of far left craziness.  The school is literally run by the students in the best traditions of Quakerism... but something got lost along the way and "consensus" became synonymous with woke principles.   

It was a fantastic experience for our daughter, and she enjoyed her time in Howard's Library.   For all of the noise at the extremes, the vast majority were incredibly nice, normal, very bright people.   



"but something got lost along the way and "consensus" became synonymous with woke principles"

My take is that these kinds of group PC thinking are subject to pendulum swings. I heard from longtime professors that classes in the 70s were far more intellectually engaged and challenged conventional instruction compared to classes in my times during the 80s. Students by then were far quieter and accepting of instruction. There wasn't a lot of social consciousness. 

How was Haverford's social life? When my girlfriend was at Bryn Mawr, Haverford had only recently gone fully co-ed. As a result, there were more women students in the area than before and a lot of women at Bryn Mawr felt like they couldn't buy a date. Visiting there was strange: I either got hostile looks or would met very enthusiastic women eager to talk to me even though my girlfriend was right there and these women ignored my g/f when I wasn't there. Very bright, academically committed women but often socially resigned.  
Steely_D

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Location: The foot of Mount Belzoni
Gender: Male


Posted: Apr 4, 2025 - 1:50pm


Black line = US Market since the asshole's inauguration
Proclivities

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Location: Paris of the Piedmont
Gender: Male


Posted: Apr 4, 2025 - 1:48pm

 R_P wrote:
I came across some Substack or Reddit page about the absurdity of putting tariffs on places which are not sovereign nations, do not trade with the U.S., or are uninhabited (and don't trade with anyone).  The comments had a hare-brained assertion from some MAGA stooge that those tariffs were put onto Norfolk Island, Heard Island, and McDonald Islands to prevent Australia from using a loophole to avoid tariffs, even though Norfolk Island was slapped with a tariff 19 points higher than the general one for all of Australia.
R_P

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Gender: Male


Posted: Apr 4, 2025 - 1:48pm

Necessary Illusions
Kicking Away the Ladder: The “Real” History of Free Trade
Debunking the myth of free trade from the historical perspective demonstrates that there is an urgent need for thoroughly re-thinking some key conventional wisdom in the debate on trade policy, and more broadly on globalization.
R_P

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Gender: Male


Posted: Apr 4, 2025 - 1:15pm

Not that Norfolk! Mislabelled shipments led to Trump tariffs on uninhabited islands and remote outposts with no US trade
R_P

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Gender: Male


Posted: Apr 4, 2025 - 10:57am


R_P

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Gender: Male


Posted: Apr 4, 2025 - 10:19am

Did the stock/index ticker return to Fox?


rgio

rgio Avatar

Location: West Jersey
Gender: Male


Posted: Apr 4, 2025 - 8:16am

Hey Kurt....


Now that we know airports are designed as swastika and the Nordic countries don't count when discussing socialism... Any thoughts you'd like to share of the financial destruction of our country by a guy who's delivered more bankruptcies than Elon's had wives?

I know you've got a lot to remember, so here are some of the "promises made" that you so happily like to share about other topics....

“I will end inflation and make America affordable again on Day One.”
 â€œWe will deliver the best jobs, the biggest paychecks, and the brightest economic future the world has ever seen.”
 â€œMy tax cuts will put more money in your pocket immediately—no more federal taxes on tips, overtime pay, or Social Security benefits.”
 â€œUnder my leadership, we will see an economic boom like never before, starting right away.”

Prices are going up on EVERYTHING soon.  If you couldn't afford Biden...you're about to become homeless under Trump. 

Looking forward to your rebuttal... but not expecting one.   You've got bigger fish to fry, like defeating the Squad before they ruin America.


R_P

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Gender: Male


Posted: Apr 3, 2025 - 5:28pm

Essay form: What's wrong with tariffs
Tweets: 1/78

islander

islander Avatar

Location: West coast somewhere
Gender: Male


Posted: Apr 3, 2025 - 1:51pm

 Proclivities wrote:

"Just figured out where these fake tariff rates come from. They didn't actually calculate tariff rates + non-tariff barriers, as they say they did. Instead, for every country, they just took our trade deficit with that country and divided it by the country's exports to us.
So we have a $17.9 billion trade deficit with Indonesia. Its exports to us are $28 billion. $17.9/$28 = 64%, which Trump claims is the tariff rate Indonesia charges us. What extraordinary nonsense this is.
It's also important to understand that the tariff rates that foreign countries are supposedly charging us are just made-up numbers. South Korea, with which we have a trade agreement, is not charging a 50% tariff on U.S. exports. Nor is the EU charging a 39% tariff."

“They’re burning down the house to cook a steak,”

This is the astonishing part. They just made up some numbers and threw out a policy. Now that policy is going to impact millions of people's lives - almost exclusively negatively. Is it worth mentioning that inflation and high costs were a cornerstone of the campaign? He alone can fix it? Day one?  


rgio

rgio Avatar

Location: West Jersey
Gender: Male


Posted: Apr 3, 2025 - 12:31pm

 kcar wrote:


"Howard Lutnick, whose name is on the library at my kids college after giving them over $65M"

Haverford's shame is no doubt profound. I dated a woman who transferred from Carnegie-Mellon to Bryn Mawr (which she hated) and we spent a fair amount of time on Haverford's beautiful campus. Seemed like a nice, happy place. 

Ironically, Haverford is now foundational for right wing insanity, after a solid run of far left craziness.  The school is literally run by the students in the best traditions of Quakerism... but something got lost along the way and "consensus" became synonymous with woke principles.   

It was a fantastic experience for our daughter, and she enjoyed her time in Howard's Library.   For all of the noise at the extremes, the vast majority were incredibly nice, normal, very bright people.   

Proclivities

Proclivities Avatar

Location: Paris of the Piedmont
Gender: Male


Posted: Apr 3, 2025 - 12:30pm

 islander wrote:


Sheesh. I was looking at that chart last night going "WTF?" I couldn't even come up with a method, but it was pretty obvious those weren't tariff numbers.  Good news though, the BRICS side of the portfolio is doing just fine and will probably get a nice bump here.  

"Just figured out where these fake tariff rates come from. They didn't actually calculate tariff rates + non-tariff barriers, as they say they did. Instead, for every country, they just took our trade deficit with that country and divided it by the country's exports to us.
So we have a $17.9 billion trade deficit with Indonesia. Its exports to us are $28 billion. $17.9/$28 = 64%, which Trump claims is the tariff rate Indonesia charges us. What extraordinary nonsense this is.
It's also important to understand that the tariff rates that foreign countries are supposedly charging us are just made-up numbers. South Korea, with which we have a trade agreement, is not charging a 50% tariff on U.S. exports. Nor is the EU charging a 39% tariff."

“They’re burning down the house to cook a steak,”
black321

black321 Avatar

Location: An earth without maps
Gender: Male


Posted: Apr 3, 2025 - 12:07pm

Under prior administrations we had the a type corporatist system, where the big companies got bigger and the peons were kept happy with their growing 401k balances. This system favored developed nations, strong markets, low costs, efficiencies...stability.

The new admin seems more inclined to that of an oligarchy. This system favors control not by board rooms but the oligarchs. Chaos is the best tool to allow for consolidation, political and economical. eg, even trump knows tariffs wont balance the budget, bring manufacturing back...but his voters will believe this. At the same time, he disrupts systems, prices plummet, individuals panic, which allows those with real capital to buy at low prices. 

Problems is (for them, not us) they only have maybe two years to implement their plan. 
kcar

kcar Avatar



Posted: Apr 3, 2025 - 12:03pm

 rgio wrote:

Howard Lutnick, whose name is on the library at my kids college after giving them over $65M, has single-handedly raised the average IQ of both Wall Street and the White House by taking his position as Sec. of Commerce.

CEOs will walk back DEI to avoid the Trump SS attacking their brands, but they aren't going to invest in US manufacturing.  He'll be gone before any of it comes online, and then they'll be noncompetitive when the Democrat opens the door to free trade again after the Republicans get crushed in '26 and '28.   I re-read that to confirm that indeed the world is upside down.  Republicans are anti-free trade.

Trump is a plumber attempting to tell people who get paid in stock how to make money. 



"Howard Lutnick, whose name is on the library at my kids college after giving them over $65M"

Haverford's shame is no doubt profound. I dated a woman who transferred from Carnegie-Mellon to Bryn Mawr (which she hated) and we spent a fair amount of time on Haverford's beautiful campus. Seemed like a nice, happy place. 
R_P

R_P Avatar

Gender: Male


Posted: Apr 3, 2025 - 11:01am

🥳🎉

islander

islander Avatar

Location: West coast somewhere
Gender: Male


Posted: Apr 3, 2025 - 10:40am

 rgio wrote:

Howard Lutnick, whose name is on the library at my kids college after giving them over $65M, has single-handedly raised the average IQ of both Wall Street and the White House by taking his position as Sec. of Commerce.

CEOs will walk back DEI to avoid the Trump SS attacking their brands, but they aren't going to invest in US manufacturing.  He'll be gone before any of it comes online, and then they'll be noncompetitive when the Democrat opens the door to free trade again after the Republicans get crushed in '26 and '28.   I re-read that to confirm that indeed the world is upside down.  Republicans are anti-free trade.

Trump is a plumber attempting to tell people who get paid in stock how to make money. 



Jon Steward had Oren Cass on the other day. Seeing him try to defend the new position was interesting. Several points you could see he was uncomfortable with his own position - "No protectionism is fine, blah, blah, blah, ".

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