So within its own article it says that predictions are a waste of time:
FTA âIn 2016 most pundits found it unfathomable that a manifestly unqualified candidate like Mr Trump could win the presidency. This bias was reinforced by polls that consistently put Hillary Clinton in the lead. Now, after a presidency that yielded two impeachments and a riot at the Capitol, the prospect that voters might willingly return to office a man recently convicted of 34 felonies seems nearly as outlandish. Yet surveys suggest it is more likely than not.â
Your TL;DR cherry-picked takeaway. Obviously pundits as well as models have limitations (as further elaborated).
Yet surveys suggest it is more likely than not.The Economistâs statistical model
of the electionâwhich relies solely on polls, past results and economic
data, and knows nothing of Mr Trumpâs record in office or in the
courtsâgives Mr Biden a one-in-three chance of re-election. That means a
victory for Mr Biden would count as only a mild surprise, somewhat more
likely than the 30% share of days on which it rains in London. Four
years ago this week this model gave Mr Biden an 83% chance.
So within its own article it says that predictions are a waste of time:
FTA âIn 2016 most pundits found it unfathomable that a manifestly unqualified candidate like Mr Trump could win the presidency. This bias was reinforced by polls that consistently put Hillary Clinton in the lead. Now, after a presidency that yielded two impeachments and a riot at the Capitol, the prospect that voters might willingly return to office a man recently convicted of 34 felonies seems nearly as outlandish. Yet surveys suggest it is more likely than not.â
⢠And from what I have heard Zuckerberg is budgeting $500 million all by himself for 2024.
⢠This election will be determined by algorithms, A I, and turnout. It is hard to believe that most minds are not already made up. It will be about fear and emotion to drive the voters off the couch; out of apathy and do something.
⢠Biden will get 100 million votes to Trump's 80 million.
â¢Aw, one Billionaire out of a list you believe to be a liberal is the one you call out? Hair splitting.
â¢This election will be determined by what a sentient Americans have witnessed and heard. It will be determined by a terror of allowing this man toddler to be the Leader of the country while two hot wars are going on. It will be determined by a fear of over half the population having a target on their bodies and medical choices: In Some States women are Free, and in others she is a Birthing Slave to the State. A State that takes an interest in her having the child, but no involvement while the child is being raised.
This is Theology making law, not evidenced based. The seminal foundation of this Nation.
Are we to allow something not provable to make law? Has Spectral Evidence (belief) been allowed to return under the guise of "Religious Freedom?'
â¢Statements now from the right 'predicting' that Biden will win is the set-up argument for the "Rigged Election" if he wins.
The "We've been telling you About it for Months" prognosticators implying THEY know about malfeasance that's taking place. They 'win' if Biden wins, thus maintaining the argument for rigged elections.
A bit too easy peasy Agatha Christie, for my taste. However, I have a low bar for Trump followers.
thisbody wrote: And from what I have heard Zuckerberg is budgeting $500 million all by himself for 2024.
This election will be determined by algorithms, A I, and turnout. It is hard to believe that most minds are not already made up. It will be about fear and emotion to drive the voters off the couch; out of apathy and do something.
Biden will get 100 million votes to Trump's 80 million.
