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Little known information... maybe even facts - thisbody - Jun 23, 2024 - 4:22pm
 
NY Times Strands - geoff_morphini - Jun 23, 2024 - 4:06pm
 
How do you create optimism? - thisbody - Jun 23, 2024 - 4:01pm
 
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favorite love songs - thisbody - Jun 23, 2024 - 3:35pm
 
Things You Thought Today - thisbody - Jun 23, 2024 - 3:25pm
 
Breaking News - thisbody - Jun 23, 2024 - 2:42pm
 
Prog Rockers Anonymous - thisbody - Jun 23, 2024 - 2:24pm
 
The Dragons' Roost - thisbody - Jun 23, 2024 - 2:01pm
 
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Israel - thisbody - Jun 23, 2024 - 1:38pm
 
Joe Biden - R_P - Jun 23, 2024 - 11:42am
 
Radio Paradise Comments - GeneP59 - Jun 23, 2024 - 10:24am
 
Wordle - daily game - maryte - Jun 23, 2024 - 9:50am
 
BEATLES Make History AGAIN!! - thisbody - Jun 23, 2024 - 9:12am
 
TV shows you watch - R_P - Jun 23, 2024 - 8:57am
 
Today in History - Red_Dragon - Jun 23, 2024 - 8:36am
 
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Congress - R_P - Jun 22, 2024 - 5:53pm
 
Song of the Day - thisbody - Jun 22, 2024 - 3:32pm
 
What do you snack on? - thisbody - Jun 22, 2024 - 3:20pm
 
Photography Forum - Your Own Photos - Alchemist - Jun 22, 2024 - 2:44pm
 
What did you have for dinner? - triskele - Jun 22, 2024 - 2:31pm
 
Jam! (why should a song stop) - thisbody - Jun 22, 2024 - 1:53pm
 
June 2024 Photo Theme - Eyes - fractalv - Jun 22, 2024 - 1:46pm
 
Things I Saw Today... - R_P - Jun 22, 2024 - 1:38pm
 
Trump - kcar - Jun 22, 2024 - 12:41pm
 
Some bands or songs are recurring too much in Rock channe... - mlebihan29 - Jun 22, 2024 - 9:26am
 
Fox Spews - R_P - Jun 22, 2024 - 9:19am
 
Sonos - thatslongformud - Jun 22, 2024 - 6:18am
 
Name My Band - DaveInSaoMiguel - Jun 22, 2024 - 4:44am
 
• • • The Once-a-Day • • •  - thisbody - Jun 21, 2024 - 4:26pm
 
Too much classic rock lately? - thisbody - Jun 21, 2024 - 4:01pm
 
Girls Just Want to Have Fun - oldviolin - Jun 21, 2024 - 2:22pm
 
Musky Mythology - R_P - Jun 21, 2024 - 12:26pm
 
2024 Elections! - R_P - Jun 21, 2024 - 12:20pm
 
Electronic Music - Manbird - Jun 21, 2024 - 12:14pm
 
LeftWingNutZ - Steely_D - Jun 21, 2024 - 8:07am
 
The Obituary Page - ColdMiser - Jun 21, 2024 - 7:56am
 
RightWingNutZ - Red_Dragon - Jun 20, 2024 - 6:39pm
 
Basketball - GeneP59 - Jun 20, 2024 - 4:53pm
 
Gotta Get Your Drink On - Antigone - Jun 20, 2024 - 4:04pm
 
USA! USA! USA! - R_P - Jun 20, 2024 - 2:10pm
 
Shall We Dance? - Steely_D - Jun 20, 2024 - 1:18pm
 
Predictions - oldviolin - Jun 20, 2024 - 11:18am
 
Lyrics That Remind You of Someone - oldviolin - Jun 20, 2024 - 11:10am
 
Ukraine - R_P - Jun 20, 2024 - 10:41am
 
Just Wrong - ColdMiser - Jun 20, 2024 - 7:43am
 
Pink Floyd Set? - Coaxial - Jun 20, 2024 - 5:46am
 
Whatever happened to Taco Wagon? - Coaxial - Jun 19, 2024 - 6:14pm
 
Outstanding Covers - pope183 - Jun 19, 2024 - 2:50pm
 
Climate Change - R_P - Jun 19, 2024 - 12:34pm
 
SCOTUS - ColdMiser - Jun 19, 2024 - 7:15am
 
20+ year listeners? - islander - Jun 18, 2024 - 7:41pm
 
Baseball, anyone? - rgio - Jun 18, 2024 - 5:02pm
 
Other Medical Stuff - miamizsun - Jun 18, 2024 - 2:35pm
 
Hello from Greece! - miamizsun - Jun 18, 2024 - 2:35pm
 
Europe - R_P - Jun 18, 2024 - 9:33am
 
What Are You Going To Do Today? - KurtfromLaQuinta - Jun 16, 2024 - 8:57pm
 
What Did You See Today? - Manbird - Jun 16, 2024 - 2:39pm
 
Geomorphology - kurtster - Jun 16, 2024 - 1:29pm
 
Artificial Intelligence - thisbody - Jun 16, 2024 - 10:53am
 
The Chomsky / Zinn Reader - thisbody - Jun 16, 2024 - 10:42am
 
Football, soccer, futbol, calcio... - thisbody - Jun 16, 2024 - 8:35am
 
No stream after station ID - arlen.nelson969 - Jun 15, 2024 - 2:29pm
 
Business as Usual - kurtster - Jun 15, 2024 - 9:53am
 
What Makes You Laugh? - Antigone - Jun 14, 2024 - 7:04pm
 
Lyrics that strike a chord today... - oldviolin - Jun 14, 2024 - 3:15pm
 
China - R_P - Jun 14, 2024 - 2:59pm
 
what the hell, miamizsun? - oldviolin - Jun 14, 2024 - 2:08pm
 
Religion - Steely_D - Jun 14, 2024 - 1:28pm
 
Vinyl Only Spin List - kurtster - Jun 14, 2024 - 8:56am
 
Solar / Wind / Geothermal / Efficiency Energy - Proclivities - Jun 14, 2024 - 6:42am
 
Florida - R_P - Jun 13, 2024 - 3:35pm
 
Democratic Party - thisbody - Jun 13, 2024 - 9:08am
 
Index » Radio Paradise/General » General Discussion » 2024 Elections! Page: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7  Next
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R_P

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Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 21, 2024 - 12:20pm

 Steely_D wrote:
So within its own article it says that predictions are a waste of time: 
FTA “In 2016 most pundits found it unfathomable that a manifestly unqualified candidate like Mr Trump could win the presidency. This bias was reinforced by polls that consistently put Hillary Clinton in the lead. Now, after a presidency that yielded two impeachments and a riot at the Capitol, the prospect that voters might willingly return to office a man recently convicted of 34 felonies seems nearly as outlandish. Yet surveys suggest it is more likely than not.”

Your TL;DR cherry-picked takeaway. Obviously pundits as well as models have limitations (as further elaborated).
Yet surveys suggest it is more likely than not. The Economist’s statistical model
of the election—which relies solely on polls, past results and economic
data, and knows nothing of Mr Trump’s record in office or in the
courts—gives Mr Biden a one-in-three chance of re-election. That means a
victory for Mr Biden would count as only a mild surprise, somewhat more
likely than the 30% share of days on which it rains in London. Four
years ago this week this model gave Mr Biden an 83% chance.

Steely_D

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Location: Biscayne Bay
Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 21, 2024 - 12:10pm

 R_P wrote:
Five months out, Donald Trump has a clear lead (Economist)
America’s presidential race is no coin flip, says our forecast


So within its own article it says that predictions are a waste of time: 
FTA “In 2016 most pundits found it unfathomable that a manifestly unqualified candidate like Mr Trump could win the presidency. This bias was reinforced by polls that consistently put Hillary Clinton in the lead. Now, after a presidency that yielded two impeachments and a riot at the Capitol, the prospect that voters might willingly return to office a man recently convicted of 34 felonies seems nearly as outlandish. Yet surveys suggest it is more likely than not.”



R_P

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Posted: Jun 21, 2024 - 8:15am

Five months out, Donald Trump has a clear lead (Economist)
America’s presidential race is no coin flip, says our forecast
Steely_D

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Location: Biscayne Bay
Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 21, 2024 - 6:15am

 kurtster wrote:

Well played, sir.


kurtster

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Location: where fear is not a virtue
Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 21, 2024 - 5:39am

 Steely_D wrote:
 kurtster wrote:

First debate question ... Mr Biden ...  Chocolate or vanilla ? Mr Trump ... Same question ... why do you hate chocolate ?

"you also had flavors that were very fine flavors, on both sides."
 
Well played, sir.
Steely_D

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Location: Biscayne Bay
Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 20, 2024 - 10:25pm

 kurtster wrote:

First debate question ...

Mr Biden ...  Chocolate or vanilla ?

Mr Trump ... Same question ... why do you hate chocolate ?



"you also had flavors that were very fine flavors, on both sides."
kurtster

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Location: where fear is not a virtue
Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 20, 2024 - 9:12pm

First debate question ...

Mr Biden ...  Chocolate or vanilla ?

Mr Trump ... Same question ... why do you hate chocolate ?
R_P

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Posted: Jun 20, 2024 - 9:36am



Biden says 'all the bad guys' are rooting for Trump to win
kurtster

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Location: where fear is not a virtue
Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 19, 2024 - 10:12pm

 kcar wrote:

Kurt's comin' around! Hell freezes over! 

 
No, not really.  The compressor for our AC just died about 2 hours ago.  Ain't nuthin' cold around here at the moment.

Repair guy shows up at Noon.
kcar

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Posted: Jun 19, 2024 - 10:05pm

 haresfur wrote:


So you are saying Biden is saving you $3.00 per gallon. Cool.


Kurt's comin' around! Hell freezes over! 

haresfur

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Posted: Jun 19, 2024 - 8:18pm

 kurtster wrote:


So you are saying Biden is saving you $3.00 per gallon. Cool.
kurtster

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Location: where fear is not a virtue
Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 19, 2024 - 5:09pm

R_P

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Posted: Jun 17, 2024 - 6:40am


Steely_D

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Location: Biscayne Bay
Gender: Male


Posted: Jun 17, 2024 - 3:44am


R_P

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Posted: Jun 3, 2024 - 10:19am

Claudia Sheinbaum elected Mexico’s first female president, preliminary results show
Isabeau

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Location: sou' tex
Gender: Female


Posted: Jun 2, 2024 - 2:21pm

 kurtster wrote:

• And from what I have heard Zuckerberg is budgeting $500 million all by himself for 2024.

• This election will be determined by algorithms, A I, and turnout.  It is hard to believe that most minds are not already made up.  It will be about fear and emotion to drive the voters off the couch; out of apathy and do something.

• Biden will get 100 million votes to Trump's 80 million.

•Aw, one Billionaire out of a list you believe to be a liberal is the one you call out? Hair splitting.

•This election will be determined by what a sentient Americans have witnessed and heard. It will be determined by a terror of allowing this man toddler to be the Leader of the country while two hot wars are going on.  It will be determined by a fear of over half the population having a target on their bodies and medical choices: In Some States women are Free, and in others she is a Birthing Slave to the State. A State that takes an interest in her having the child, but no involvement while the child is being raised.
This is Theology making law, not evidenced based. The seminal foundation of this Nation.
Are we to allow something not provable to make law? Has Spectral Evidence (belief) been allowed to return under the guise of "Religious Freedom?'

•Statements now from the right 'predicting' that Biden will win is the set-up argument for the "Rigged Election" if he wins.
The "We've been telling you About it for Months" prognosticators implying THEY know about malfeasance that's taking place. They 'win' if Biden wins, thus maintaining the argument for rigged elections. 


A bit too easy peasy Agatha Christie, for my taste. However, I have a low bar for Trump followers.




kurtster

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Location: where fear is not a virtue
Gender: Male


Posted: May 24, 2024 - 9:43pm

 thisbody wrote:
 
And from what I have heard Zuckerberg is budgeting $500 million all by himself for 2024.

This election will be determined by algorithms, A I, and turnout.  It is hard to believe that most minds are not already made up.  It will be about fear and emotion to drive the voters off the couch; out of apathy and do something.

Biden will get 100 million votes to Trump's 80 million.
thisbody

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Location: North (doubtful)
Gender: Male


Posted: May 24, 2024 - 9:23pm


R_P

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Posted: May 14, 2024 - 6:00pm

Biden’s polling denial: Why he doesn't believe he's behind
Beaker

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Location: Your safe space


Posted: May 14, 2024 - 8:03am

 rgio wrote:
A red MAGA hat may as well be a swastika. 



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